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Research and Markets
(http://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/c53112) has announced the
addition of Aviation Outlook 2007: "Dawn of a New Era" to their
offering
Packed with analysis, commentary and data, the Outlook report is
your essential aviation research companion for the region.
The report covers the Big Issues facing Asia Pacific aviation in
2007, including LCCs, liberalisation, restructuring, aircraft
orders/deliveries, skills, funding, security, the environment and the
economy.
The overall themes of 'Outlook 2007: Dawn of a New Era' include an
impending "full frontal attack" on flag carriers commencing in 2007,
and the continued unfolding of the influential LCC story in Asia.
Among the key findings:
-- New entry: As liberalisation sweeps through, new airlines are
inevitably starting to emerge (which is the main underlying
phenomenon, not just an LCC movement). That they are appearing
on long-haul routes speaks only of a new diversity, rather
than simply of long-haul LCCs. By definition, these new
entrants will have a low cost base and will be free from many
of the legacy features; if not, they have no chance of
survival;
-- Liberalisation: Intra-Asian liberalisation appears likely to
accelerate in 2007. The prospect of a momentous opening up of
the Singapore-Kuala Lumpur route -- provoked, significantly,
by tourism interests -- would have repercussions right around
the region, as ASEAN States prepare to open their skies
between capital cities in 2008. Until now considered more of a
concept than a serious reality, ASEAN 2008 would take on
genuine meaning;
-- Restructuring: As the new entrants begin serving long-haul
arteries, the future of incumbent flag carriers will now be
confronted more directly, prompting further urgent
restructuring. The long-haul market has been their unique
preserve and underpins the advantage they have at their home
hubs;
-- Revenue: The impact of fuel surcharges on revenue will
diminish in 2007, as competitive pressures intensify. Yields
will resume their long-term downward trend from late 2007;
-- Earnings: Asia Pacific earnings will be depressed in 2007 and
2008, due to cost pressures, increasing liberalisation, rising
capacity growth and rising competition from new entrants.
Long-haul profitability will be weakened by rising competition
from Middle East carriers and an intensified focus on Asia by
European and North American airlines;
-- Constraints: Apart from regulation, in 2007 there are other
real constraints on expansion and new entry: aircraft
availability, skilled human resources, airport and airways
infrastructure and funding. For existing players, these can be
helpful in the short term, as they will limit the extent to
which the competition can grow;
-- Security: Security costs and risks will continue to plague the
industry in 2007; the new limits to on-board liquid allowances
has just begun to hit home and will have a highly unwelcome
negative impact on airport revenues -- pain which must be
passed on to airlines and to travellers;
-- Environment: The environment movement, which has quickly
become a major political movement in Europe, will arrive in
this region with considerable force this year;
-- Economy: Meanwhile, the continuing strength of the global
economy, in the face of extreme oil price increases, has
surprised many. The short-term signs are of a benign outlook,
but the strong cycle is unlikely to continue forever. And
paradoxically, if economies slow, so fuel prices will fall. As
long as the good cycle continues, and China powers ahead, with
India now becoming a force to reckon with, the Asia Pacific
aviation business will maintain its surge.
Your questions answered in Outlook 2007:
-- Will the long-haul low cost model work?
-- How will regionally branded airlines take-over the landscape?
-- Will the flag carriers fight back?
-- Will consolidation occur in Asia?
-- What is the traffic/earnings outlook?
-- Which airports have the best prospects in 2007?
This 180 page report, published in March 2007, reviews the
airline, airport and tourism prospects for 2007 by a team of leading
analysts. The report provides an overview of the industry's prospects,
as well as coverage of 17 countries in four geographic regions of the
Asia Pacific region.
Content Outline:
-0-
*T
PART A
Executive Summary
Introduction - Outlook 2007: Dawn of a New Era
The Drivers for 2007
International Traffic
International Capacity
International Market Share
Liberalisation
The Economy
LCCs
Fleets
Human Resources
The Outlook for 2007
Earnings
Funding
Airports & Tourism
Airports
Tourism
PART B
North Asia
China
Hong Kong SAR
Macau SAR
Japan
South Korea
Taiwan
Southeast Asia
Indonesia
Malaysia
Philippines
Singapore
Thailand
Vietnam
Indian Subcontinent
India
Pakistan
Sri Lanka
South Pacific
Australia
New Zealand
*T
Reviews:
"The Outlook 2007: Dawn of a New Era provides an in-depth analysis
of the air transport trends shaping events in the Asia Pacific region
in a highly readable format. The Outlook describes the current contest
between a new breed of low cost carrier (LCC) and flag carriers, with
each move and counter move carrying high stakes in the battle for both
market share and profits. Outlook provides a balanced view of the
action, examining the sustainability of strategies of the airline
adversaries and the probability of the success of new initiatives,
including the recent introduction of long-haul LCCs. It is important
reading for industry stakeholders and government decision makers
alike."
-- Robert J. Aaronson, Director General, Airports Council
International
"The Outlook 2007 report is a valuable resource, combining
comprehensive data on Asia Pacific aviation with some thought
provoking analysis on the major trends shaping the industry's future
growth."
-- Andrew Herdman, Director General, Association of Asia Pacific
Airlines
For more information visit
http://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/c53112
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