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NMI (Non-Manufacturing Index) at 47%; June Non-Manufacturing ISM Report On Business®; Business Activity Index at 49.8%; New Orders Index at 48.6%; Employment Index at 43.4%

Dépèche transmise le 6 juillet 2009 par Business Wire

NMI (Non-Manufacturing Index) at 47%; June Non-Manufacturing ISM Report On Business®; Business Activity Index at 49.8%; New Orders Index at 48.6%; Employment Index at 43.4%

NMI (Non-Manufacturing Index) at 47%; June Non-Manufacturing ISM Report On Business®; Business Activity Index at 49.8%; New Orders Index at 48.6%; Employment Index at 43.4%

TEMPE, Ariz.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Economic activity in the non-manufacturing sector contracted in June, say the nation’s purchasing and supply executives in the latest Non-Manufacturing ISM Report On Business®.

The report was issued today by Anthony Nieves, C.P.M., CFPM, chair of the Institute for Supply Management™ Non-Manufacturing Business Survey Committee; and senior vice president — supply management for Hilton Hotels Corporation. “The NMI (Non-Manufacturing Index) registered 47 percent in June, 3 percentage points higher than the 44 percent registered in May, indicating contraction in the non-manufacturing sector for the ninth consecutive month, but at a slower rate. The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index increased 7.4 percentage points to 49.8 percent. The New Orders Index increased 4.2 percentage points to 48.6 percent, and the Employment Index increased 4.4 percentage points to 43.4 percent. The Prices Index increased 6.8 percentage points to 53.7 percent in June, indicating an increase in prices paid from May. This is the first time the index has registered above 50 percent since October 2008. According to the NMI, six non-manufacturing industries reported growth in June. Respondents’ comments continue to be mixed and tend to be industry- and company-specific about business conditions.”

INDUSTRY PERFORMANCE (Based on the NMI)

The six industries reporting growth in June based on the NMI composite index — listed in order — are: Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Arts, Entertainment & Recreation; Accommodation & Food Services; Finance & Insurance; Construction; and Information. The 11 industries reporting contraction in June — listed in order — are: Mining; Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting; Wholesale Trade; Transportation & Warehousing; Retail Trade; Management of Companies & Support Services; Public Administration; Health Care & Social Assistance; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; Educational Services; and Other Services.

WHAT RESPONDENTS ARE SAYING …

  • “Business has improved and holding steady.” (Arts, Entertainment & Recreation)
  • “Activity level is flat. Clients are delaying capital spending decisions.” (Professional, Scientific & Technical Services)
  • “Economy may be stabilizing. Second half looks more positive than first half.” (Information)
  • “Have begun spending government stimulus funding, and expect conditions to gradually improve in the near future.” (Public Administration)
  • “Occupancy levels continue to increase at a slow pace.” (Accommodation & Food Services)
  • “Activity is still slow and little has changed since last month.” (Wholesale Trade)

ISM NON-MANUFACTURING SURVEY RESULTS AT A GLANCE

COMPARISON OF ISM NON-MANUFACTURING AND ISM MANUFACTURING SURVEYS(a)

JUNE 2009

     
Index Non-Manufacturing Manufacturing

Series
Index
June

 

Series
Index
May

 

Percent
Point
Change

 

Direction

 

Rate of
Change

 

Trend(b)
(Months)

 

Series
Index
June

 

Series
Index
May

 

Percent
Point
Change

 
NMI/PMI 47.0 44.0 +3.0 Contracting Slower 9 44.8 42.8 +2.0
Business Activity/

Production

49.8 42.4 +7.4 Contracting Slower 9 52.5 46.0 +6.5
New Orders 48.6 44.4 +4.2 Contracting Slower 9 49.2 51.1 -1.9
Employment 43.4 39.0 +4.4 Contracting Slower 14 40.7 34.3 +6.4
Supplier Deliveries 46.0 50.0 -4.0 Faster From Unchanged 1 50.6 49.8 +0.8
Inventories 45.0 47.0 -2.0 Contracting Faster 10 30.8 32.9 -2.1
Prices 53.7 46.9 +6.8 Increasing From Decreasing 1 50.0 43.5 +6.5
Backlog of Orders 46.0 40.0 +6.0 Contracting Slower 11 47.5 48.0 -0.5
New Export Orders 54.5 47.0 +7.5 Growing From Contracting 1 49.5 48.0 +1.5
Imports 47.0 46.0 +1.0 Contracting Slower 8 46.0 42.5 +3.5
Inventory Sentiment 67.0 62.5 +4.5 Too High Faster 145 N/A N/A N/A
Customers’ Inventories N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 43.5 46.0 -2.5

(a) Non-Manufacturing ISM Report On Business®data is seasonally adjusted for Business Activity, New Orders, Prices and Employment. Manufacturing ISM Report On Business® data is seasonally adjusted for New Orders, Production, Employment, Supplier Deliveries and Inventories.

(b) Number of months moving in current direction

COMMODITIES REPORTED UP / DOWN IN PRICE, and IN SHORT SUPPLY

Commodities Up in Price

Copper Products (2); Diesel Fuel; #2 Diesel Fuel (2); Fuel (2); Gasoline (22); Petroleum Products; Stainless Steel Products; and Tomatoes.

Commodities Down in Price

Beef; Coated Groundwood; Corrugated Products (5); Laptops; and Natural Gas (2).

Commodities in Short Supply

Hand Sanitizers is the only commodity reported in short supply.

Note: The number of consecutive months the commodity is listed is indicated after each item.

JUNE 2009 NON-MANUFACTURING INDEX SUMMARIES

NMI (Non-Manufacturing Index)

In June, the NMI registered 47 percent, indicating contraction in the non-manufacturing sector at a slower rate compared to May’s reading of 44 percent. A reading above 50 percent indicates the non-manufacturing sector economy is generally expanding; below 50 percent indicates the non-manufacturing sector is generally contracting.

NMI HISTORY

          Month           NMI                     Month           NMI
 
Jun 2009 47.0 Dec 2008 40.1
May 2009 44.0 Nov 2008 37.4
Apr 2009 43.7 Oct 2008 44.6
Mar 2009 40.8 Sep 2008 50.0
Feb 2009 41.6 Aug 2008 50.4
Jan 2009 42.9 Jul 2008 49.6
Average for 12 months – 44.3

High – 50.4

Low – 37.4

Business Activity

ISM’s Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index in June registered 49.8 percent, an increase of 7.4 percentage points when compared to the 42.4 percent registered in May. Seven industries reported increased business activity, and eight industries reported decreased activity for the month of June. Three industries reported no change from May. Comments from respondents include: “New capital projects”; “Economy may be improving slightly”; and “Increasing demand.”

The industries reporting growth of business activity in June — listed in order — are: Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Accommodation & Food Services; Arts, Entertainment & Recreation; Finance & Insurance; Construction; Information; and Educational Services. The industries reporting decreased business activity in June — listed in order — are: Mining; Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting; Transportation & Warehousing; Retail Trade; Wholesale Trade; Health Care & Social Assistance; Public Administration; and Other Services.

Business Activity           %Higher         %Same         %Lower         Index
 
Jun 2009 28 50 22 49.8
May 2009 20 52 28 42.4
Apr 2009 26 46 28 45.2
Mar 2009 24 44 32 44.1

New Orders

ISM’s Non-Manufacturing New Orders Index contracted in June for the ninth consecutive month. The index registered 48.6 percent, which is an increase of 4.2 percentage points from the 44.4 percent registered in May. Comments from respondents include: “Less restrictions on expenditures”; “In line with increase in customers”; and “Increased sales and prospect activity.”

The seven industries reporting growth of new orders in June — listed in order — are: Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Arts, Entertainment & Recreation; Educational Services; Accommodation & Food Services; Construction; Information; and Finance & Insurance. The eight industries reporting contraction of new orders in June — listed in order — are: Mining; Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting; Wholesale Trade; Transportation & Warehousing; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; Health Care & Social Assistance; Public Administration; and Other Services.

New Orders           %Higher         %Same         %Lower         Index
 
Jun 2009 29 45 26 48.6
May 2009 23 51 26 44.4
Apr 2009 24 54 22 47.0
Mar 2009 18 42 40 38.8

Employment

Employment activity in the non-manufacturing sector contracted in June for the 17th time in the last 18 months. ISM’s Non-Manufacturing Employment Index for June registered 43.4 percent. This reflects an increase of 4.4 percentage points when compared to the 39 percent registered in May. Five industries reported increased employment, eight industries reported decreased employment, and four industries reported unchanged employment compared to May. Comments from respondents include: “Right-sizing staff to sales-run rates”; “Some corporate staff reductions”; and “Layoffs due to slowdown.”

The industries reporting an increase in employment in June are: Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Arts, Entertainment & Recreation; Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting; Accommodation & Food Services; and Finance & Insurance. The industries reporting a reduction in employment in June — listed in order — are: Educational Services; Wholesale Trade; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; Retail Trade; Public Administration; Information; Health Care & Social Assistance; and Other Services.

Employment           %Higher         %Same         %Lower         Index
 
Jun 2009 13 64 23 43.4
May 2009 13 58 29 39.0
Apr 2009 10 58 32 37.0
Mar 2009 7 50 43 32.3

Supplier Deliveries

The Supplier Deliveries Index registered 46 percent in June, indicating supplier deliveries were faster than in May, when the index registered 50 percent (a reading at 50 percent indicates an equal balance of non-manufacturing respondents reporting slower and faster deliveries from their suppliers). A reading above 50 percent indicates slower deliveries.

No industry reported slower deliveries in May. The eight industries reporting faster supplier deliveries in June are: Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting; Management of Companies & Support Services; Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Educational Services; Transportation & Warehousing; Retail Trade; Information; and Wholesale Trade.

Supplier Deliveries           %Slower         %Same         %Faster         Index
 
Jun 2009 3 86 11 46.0
May 2009 7 86 7 50.0
Apr 2009 3 85 12 45.5
Mar 2009 7 82 11 48.0

Inventories

ISM’s Non-Manufacturing Inventories Index registered 45 percent in June, indicating that inventory levels contracted in June for the 10th consecutive month. Of the total respondents in June, 28 percent indicated they do not have inventories or do not measure them. Comments from members include: “Continued burn-off of inventory”; “Working to lower inventory investment dollars”; and “More effective procurement practices and inventory control processes.”

The four industries reporting an increase in inventories in June are: Mining; Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Arts, Entertainment & Recreation; and Utilities. The 11 industries reporting decreases in inventories in June — listed in order — are: Other Services; Educational Services; Transportation & Warehousing; Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting; Wholesale Trade; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; Finance & Insurance; Retail Trade; Information; Public Administration; and Health Care & Social Assistance.

Inventories           %Higher         %Same         %Lower         Index
 
Jun 2009 14 62 24 45.0
May 2009 17 60 23 47.0
Apr 2009 12 62 26 43.0
Mar 2009 9 62 29 40.0

Prices

Prices paid by non-manufacturing organizations for purchased materials and services increased in June after seven consecutive months of decreases. ISM’s Non-Manufacturing Prices Index for June registered 53.7 percent, 6.8 percentage points higher than the 46.9 percent reported in May. In June, the percentage of respondents reporting higher prices is 26 percent, the percentage indicating no change in prices paid is 60 percent, and 14 percent of the respondents reported lower prices.

In June, nine industries reported an increase in prices paid, in the following order: Utilities; Management of Companies & Support Services; Educational Services; Finance & Insurance; Health Care & Social Assistance; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; Accommodation & Food Services; Public Administration; and Wholesale Trade. The seven industries reporting prices as decreasing for the month of June — listed in order — are: Mining; Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting; Arts, Entertainment & Recreation; Other Services; Retail Trade; Construction; and Information.

Prices           %Higher         %Same         %Lower         Index
 
Jun 2009 26 60 14 53.7
May 2009 17 68 15 46.9
Apr 2009 9 70 21 40.0
Mar 2009 12 59 29 39.1

Backlog of Orders

ISM’s Non-Manufacturing Backlog of Orders Index contracted in June for the 11th consecutive month. The index registered 46 percent, 6 percentage points higher than the 40 percent reported in May. Of the total respondents in June, 45 percent indicated they do not measure backlog of orders.

The two industries reporting an increase in order backlogs in June are: Construction and Public Administration. The seven industries reporting lower backlog of orders in June — listed in order — are: Mining; Other Services; Utilities; Wholesale Trade; Health Care & Social Assistance; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; and Retail Trade.

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Backlog of Orders